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SA For FAs delivers information and analysis that will help Financial Advisors throughout their day. The podcast, hosted by Seeking Alpha editor Gil Weinreich, addresses issues of current interest to Financial Advisors and active investors, including macro analysis of current issues affecting markets; retirement planning; and asset allocation strategy.
- 369 - Best Practices: Handling Speculation Demand Among Younger Clients
Guest podcaster Jason Kirsch, CFP(R) discusses increasing demand for speculation among his younger clients.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 11 Jun 2021 - 368 - The Asset Allocator: DIY Disasters Are Avoidable
The huge and rapid across-the-board gains of the current market make now the most relevant time to remind investors of the protective value of asset allocation. This podcast (5:46) argues that we should reduce risk and aspire to steady returns. While we cannot predict the future — indeed, because we cannot predict the future — we should plan our finances in such a way as to avoid calamitous outcomes.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 01 Jun 2021 - 367 - The Asset Allocator: Ron Surz On Protecting Boomers’ Portfolios From Today’s High Risk
Ron Surz’s new book “Baby Boomer Investing in the Perilous Decade of the 2020s” offers guidance on protecting lifetime savings that now reside in the crossfires of financial disaster. He is making the book available for free this week, through May 28, on Amazon. In this podcast (21:34), Surz explains why he believes the 2020s are a time of heightened risk, how boomers, who are most exposed, can protect themselves from this risk, and how even those who have saved insufficiently can live a dignified retirement.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 25 May 2021 - 366 - The Asset Allocator: Intel’s Cure Precedes Its Illness
Intel’s detractors criticize the company for falling behind competitors in data-center sales, for reducing buybacks and for declining profit margins. But it is when a company is down that its stock price provides an attractive entry point. This podcast (8:05) argues that Intel’s problems are fixable and that its new leadership appears to be busy fixing them now. And in the meantime, its stock sells at a modest price-to-earnings ratio of 12, a fraction of the industry average.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 18 May 2021 - 365 - The Asset Allocator: Economic Optimist Larry Siegel Doubts The Doomsayers
Veteran investment research Laurence (Larry) Siegel’s response to all the doomsday stories in the daily news is his book “Fewer, Richer, Greener,” which offers a long view of the progress and economic growth our world has known, despite the proverbial bumps on the road. This podcast (20:40) challenges Siegel with a bit of the gloom and doom that we’re seeing. The financial analyst concedes that a sober view of markets is justified, but defends the view that the broader economy is progressing. In this interview and in his book, Siegel prefers to light a candle than to curse the darkness.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 11 May 2021 - 364 - The Asset Allocator: Investment Decision-Making In An ‘Everything Rally’
The Fed’s interventionist policies are the primary source of our current “everything rally,” and it is this same factor that will eventually upend it. This podcast (7:50) argues that discounted cash flows and other tools of fundamental analysis are compromised when the so-called risk-free rate of money has been openly distorted for so long, and why other factors are worthy of consideration. It also suggests that investors always be prepared for risk-off scenarios.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 04 May 2021 - 363 - The Asset Allocator: Baker Hughes Capturing The Carbon-Capture Opportunity
At a time when oil majors are facing increasing pressure to reduce greenhouse-gas emissions, a key question for investors concerns not which future technologies will prevail but who is helping these companies get rid of their methane right now. This podcast (6:40) argues that Baker Hughes’s solutions are performing right now in an area of rising regulatory scrutiny and hence growing market importance.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 27 Apr 2021 - 362 - The Asset Allocator: Ambev - A Major Brewery, Excellent Value
Ambev (ABEV) operates in a country reeling under pandemic, but Brazilians continue to drink beer, revenue is growing and investor fear of Brazil will eventually subside as a commodity boom lifts its currency. This podcast (7:28) argues that Ambev is already increasing revenue while cyclical factors should help it cut costs, fueling a renewed look by investors at an emerging-markets company with a popular product and solid customer base.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 20 Apr 2021 - 361 - The Asset Allocator: A Peaceful Portfolio
I have no regrets about missing out on a stock on my watchlist that moved up 700 percent this past year, but feel more regret for a value stock I failed to snatch before it moved up 25 percent. This podcast (6:21) argues that past experience, which in my case has shown that the market ultimately recognizes value, encourages me to hold cash while searching for value stocks with long runways, enabling me to enjoy the tranquility of a portfolio requiring just mild supervision.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 13 Apr 2021 - 360 - The Asset Allocator: Prediction Is Fiction
The contemporary prophet Harry Dent Jr. says the stock market will collapse this month. The financial newsletter writer even added that he will quit his job if he is wrong. This podcast (6:21) warns that even the most brilliant economic sages – like the great American economist Irving Fisher – falter when they make predictions, because their vast knowledge does not endow them with this ability. Hoping to cure investors of their innate credulity, I summon the story of the Witch of Endor, which memorably illustrates the fraudulence of acts of divination.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 06 Apr 2021 - 359 - The Asset Allocator: MMT - Neither Modern Nor Monetary Nor A Theory
From Ancient Rome to Argentina under Peron to the U.S. over the past two decades, extreme spending unmoored to tax revenue has a hoary history ill befitting the title “Modern” Monetary Theory. This podcast (7:42) argues that MMT is not a theory awaiting adoption but rather a description of the bipartisan policy of the United States for some time now, though never more so than under its current “go big” moniker. But will “go big” become “go bankrupt?”
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 30 Mar 2021 - 358 - The Asset Allocator: International Real Estate And Commodities At A Reasonable Price
The Argentine conglomerate Cresud lies at the intersection of real estate and commodities, sectors that tend to do well in periods of changing inflation expectations, and its P/E is just 5. This podcast (7:47) explores why the stock seems to be especially well positioned to thrive in the current period, while raising questions about management and deeper concerns about the political and economic environment that weighs down Argentina.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 23 Mar 2021 - 357 - The Asset Allocator: Trepidation About Inflation
Government stimulus and Fed indifference are stoking an investor fear of inflation that has been dormant for decades. This podcast (6:07) looks at research by investment strategist Michael Crook indicating that a global-equity portfolio may offer the most protection against inflation. It also contains surprising findings about gold’s relationship to price changes and interest rates.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 16 Mar 2021 - 356 - The Asset Allocator: Know Who You’re Up Against
The lesson I take from the GameStop affair is that the stock market does not necessarily reward investment sophistication but is exquisitely responsive to investment speculation. This podcast (4:29) argues that no matter how smart you as an individual may be, your chances of success in the stock market are overwhelmingly influenced by how dumb everyone else is. To succeed in such a market, we must take a self-consciously long-term approach, as if we’re purchasing shares for our grandchildren.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 09 Mar 2021 - 355 - The Asset Allocator: Alternative Currencies (Podcast)
The dollar is worth about one-twenty-sixth of its value a century ago, and loose fiscal and monetary policies portend a deepening of the trend. This podcast (8:03) looks at the few currencies that have held up well to the dollar over a decade or more, reflecting underlying monetary and fiscal discipline.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 02 Mar 2021 - 354 - Retirement Advisor: Inspiration For Advisors
Financial advisor work should be regarded as a helping profession. This podcast (5:34) frames that notion via a few inspirational quotes from poets Edwin Markham and Rudyard Kipling, and Israel’s first prime minister David Ben-Gurion and anthropologist Margaret Mead.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 16 Jul 2020 - 353 - Retirement Advisor: Desperate For Income
Analyst Marc Gerstein argues that senior secured loans are a safer bet than junk bonds, but even he considers them aggressive. This podcast (7:52) favors privately owned real estate as a source of income for those comfortable with that commitment, but suggests that accepting today’s low yields is a better choice than accepting a level of risk that can ruin your retirement.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 14 Jul 2020 - 352 - Retirement Advisor: An Untapped Network
A new paper by David Blake of London’s Pensions Institute explains how nudges and peer-group networks further people along toward greater retirement security. This podcast (6:56) argues that instead of seeking peer-group validation, it would be far more helpful if younger people were paired with older people, a pairing financial advisors are uniquely capable of making, to everyone’s advantage.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 09 Jul 2020 - 351 - Retirement Advisor: Famous Last Words
The story of America’s first celebrity economist, Irving Fisher, should cure anybody still milling about for expert predictions. This podcast (7:06) argues that investors, instead of spinning their heads listening to other people’s predictions, would do well to secure for themselves predictable income.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 07 Jul 2020 - 350 - Retirement Advisor: Don’t Fear Retirement
The Society of Actuaries has released a report on over a dozen significant retirement risks. This podcast (8:32) suggests that investors needn’t sweat such lengthy checklists if they get the big issues right before entering retirement, and proposes a major issue people ought to concern themselves with but which nary gets a mention.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 02 Jul 2020 - 349 - Retirement Advisor: Public Finances And Your Retirement Location
Warren Buffett offered some retirement advice a year ago, little noticed at the time, which is more relevant now than then. This podcast (7:24) recalls the Oracle of Omaha’s post-annual-letter CNBC interview, where Buffett advised people take appropriate due diligence on just what liabilities they’re “walking into.”
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 30 Jun 2020 - 348 - Retirement Advisor: Some Risks Are Unaffordable
The “The Baby Boomer Investing Show,” produced by Ron Surz and Kathy Tarochione, offers a perspective void of Wall Street sloganeering, combined with a rare financial sophistication. This podcast (8:34) considers why the lifecycle matters so much, explaining why near and new retirees shouldn’t risk what they cannot afford to lose.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 25 Jun 2020 - 347 - Retirement Advisor: How MassMutual’s First Responders Handled The Crisis
MassMutual’s Bob Carroll offers a front-row view of his firm’s response to the coronavirus crisis, with regard to retirement savers and advisors managing workplace plans. In the interview (20:32), Carroll shares a touching story of how the crisis brought competing advisors together to help their community.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 23 Jun 2020 - 346 - Retirement Advisor: More Important Than ‘Time In The Market’
Investors need to step up and do the hard work of saving their own capital for retirement. This podcast (6:06) suggests that the calendar, that is to say the passage of time, is a less reliable guide to success than human effort and accomplishment.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 19 Jun 2020 - 345 - Retirement Advisor: Memo To Calpers – Don’t Leverage Retirement Funds
The Financial Times reports that Calpers is seeking to juice returns through the use of leverage. This podcast (6:30) suggests a pension fund shouldn’t borrow heavily to goose up returns, especially as big institutions do not win all their bets. The conservative approach adopted by the Yale Endowment does far more to deliver returns and ensure the payment of pension benefits.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 16 Jun 2020 - 344 - Retirement Advisor: When Is Enough Enough?
A slogan in retirement investing holds that investors who reach a certain level of success are free to reduce risk. This podcast (7:09) suggests that this idea merits quantitative definition and practical implementation, to ensure that future retirees do not face the same sense of impoverishment as the Class of 2020, who have seen their portfolios plunge at the time their retirement has required portfolio withdrawals.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 17 Apr 2020 - 343 - The Asset Allocator: An Outside Perspective
The advantage of financial advice is the outsider’s perspective, which is the reason so many professional fields of counseling, coaching and training continue to expand. This podcast (6:02) argues that just as a prisoner cannot free himself, so too it is the outsider that can provide the discipline or the method to get the person to make progress in the area of life he or she is challenged by.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 15 Apr 2020 - 342 - The Asset Allocator: 3 Planning Strategies For Times Of Crisis
Harbor Crest Wealth Advisors’ Mike Hennessy discusses Roth conversions, gifting strategies and qualified HAS funding distribution, planning strategies of particular value in 2020. This podcast (9:02) suggests there are creative planning strategies advisors can employ to help clients during these uniquely challenging times.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 14 Apr 2020 - 341 - Retirement Advisor: A PSA For The Financially Distracted
A public service announcement meant to educate the public on the dangers of texting and driving reminds us that that all forms of distractedness, including financial, are dangerous.
This podcast (6:56) suggests that financial advisors have a public-service role to play when the fact that financial calamity happens to 50 percent of retirees doesn’t impact the behavior of the distracted masses fumbling their finances.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 13 Apr 2020 - 340 - The Asset Allocator: What Advisors Need To Know About The Mortgage Market
Harbor Crest Wealth Advisors’ Mike Hennessy provides a big-picture view of the mortgage market’s interaction with Fed funds and the 10-year Treasury. This podcast (6:22) explains the host of factors influencing mortgage rates, including the surprising reason his own refi effort fell apart.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 10 Apr 2020 - 339 - The Asset Allocator: Magnifying Volatility
Harbor Crest Wealth Advisors’ Mike Hennessy discusses a trade that lost nearly two decades of performance in March, and claimed the lives of two hedge funds. This podcast (6:36) suggests that clients holding alternative investments or structured notes are likely already exposed to complex derivative strategies, and that advisors should therefore know about the workings of trades like variance swaps that can magnify an already volatile environment.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 08 Apr 2020 - 338 - The Asset Allocator: A Guide To Reality (Podcast)
Seeking Alpha contributor Jim Sloan’s article, “’A Little Ice Age’ Is Upon Us,” is the guide investors need to the reality of our new era. This podcast (8:15) concurs with Sloan that there is a future in stock-market investing, but investors need to take a different approach to decision making. Investing has returned to becoming a long-term proposition, where due diligence matters, where top-line growth without corporate window-dressing returns to its former importance.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 07 Apr 2020 - 337 - Retirement Advisor: When Aggressive Is Excessive
An investing culture geared toward aggressive stock allocation fails to consider the risk of insolvency that spikes precisely at times such as the present. This podcast (6:20) suggests that retirement investors make stability as important a goal as growth to correct this common and fundamental problem.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 06 Apr 2020 - 336 - The Asset Allocator: A Time For Leadership
With job losses shattering records in the wake of the coronavirus, an obvious question advisors are thinking about is: ‘What about mine?’ This podcast (6:45) suggests that now is a time that financial advisors can have a greater impact than ever before - by learning, teaching and leading. Helping people see that they have a financial future is what will make advisors’ own futures viable.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 03 Apr 2020 - 335 - The Asset Allocator: A 3-Step Path To Recovery
The path to recovery consists primarily of these three things: the success of restrictions that slow the progress of the coronavirus; government action to economically sustain businesses and households; and renewed employment that will set a pace for household spending. This podcast (6:57) argues that the lengthy and painful process imposed by today’s economic crisis will have the effective of turning “investors” into real investors, who buy for the long-term, knowing what they’re buying and why, and what they’re avoiding and why.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 02 Apr 2020 - 334 - Retirement Advisor: A Teachable Moment
There’s no time like a downturn to revisit “sequence of returns” risk, which holds that investment performance is dependent on returns the market generates at the point of retirement. This podcast (6:56) suggests there are unpredictable occasions like the present market crisis, where anything less than a 100 percent assurance that retirees’ expenses are covered, would be calamitous.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 01 Apr 2020 - 333 - Retirement Advisor: Subject To Interpretation
A newly minted carona-retiree laments the harsh impact on his family, finances and work prospects. Looked at differently though, we can see that he’s actually doing great. This podcast (6:56) suggests that new retirees are naturally wracked with anxiety over this big life change and that how well one does in retirement is highly subject to interpretation.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 31 Mar 2020 - 332 - The Asset Allocator: The Pressure Has Been Building
The huge run-up in debt, Federal Reserve activism and a trend towards economic nationalism in the last decade may be the factors that most effect the current one, with the coronavirus pandemic merely triggering the shift. This podcast (8:42) suggests that a squeeze on consumer staples and agricultural commodities could trigger inflation, and a surge in inflation could prevent the Fed from easing financial conditions, which could trigger a debt crisis.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 30 Mar 2020 - 331 - The Asset Allocator: Coping With The Crisis
This crisis is different from others in its details, but this we can say from a historical perspective: The doom people have dreaded has never materialized. We’ve always moved on. This podcast (8:12) suggests that what makes market and economic crises so harsh is that they activate fight-or-flight responses, but in scenarios where we cannot fight and have nowhere to flee. It is precisely for this reason that we must distinguish between factors we have influence over versus things that are beyond our control.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 27 Mar 2020 - 330 - Retirement Advisor: The 8% Rule
Five years after the enactment of major retirement reform in the UK, the Association of British Insurers presents an evaluation. This podcast (7:05) notes that the reforms were intended to promote “pension freedom,” but the report is now pushing for the use of financial advice to keep people from misusing that freedom.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 20 Mar 2020 - 329 - The Asset Allocator: Mayport’s Adam Grossman On Financial Advice In Exciting Times
Mayport Wealth Management’s Adam Grossman offers an anatomy of the type of client reactions he’s seeing in the current market meltdown, along with analysis of value in the muni bond market and an incremental approach to stock-buying. In this podcast interview (17:53), the Boston-based advisor also offers insight into investment rules of thumb, his approach to helping clients clarify goals and his thoughts on correcting America’s dearth of retirement savings.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 19 Mar 2020 - 328 - Retirement Advisor: A More Ideal Retirement
In research on the end-of-life regrets of elderly Americans, the trip they did not take was one of the highest-ranked items. This podcast (5:34) suggests the extra time in quarantine with those closest to us can guide us to how we can achieve a more ideal retirement, one that more precisely defines which pursuits generate the greatest “happiness” returns.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 18 Mar 2020 - 327 - The Asset Allocator: Wrong For Too Long
I recall an incident where a senior analyst at a major investment research firm was “right” about the Fed – and took a maximalist position at least eight years too early in a career-ending move. This podcast (6:33) suggests investors determine their central tendency – towards fear or greed – and balance against it via asset allocation.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 17 Mar 2020 - 326 - Retirement Advisor: Coronavirus Considerations
CNBC ran an article a week ago arguing that the coronavirus should make people rethink the idea of retiring abroad based on the quality of overseas healthcare and the inability to get Medicare coverage. This podcast (6:31) suggests these two arguments are fairly easy to overcome, but that the true coronavirus critique of retirement abroad is that in the social distancing caused by this pandemic, many a family are drawing closer than ever before, something that international borders would block.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 16 Mar 2020 - 325 - The Asset Allocator: Do You Believe In Yesterday?
The Beatles’ classic ballad “Yesterday” offers some perspective on today’s falling markets. This podcast (6:08) takes comfort in the Beatles’ hint that the troubles that once seemed so far away only look as though they’re here to stay, and offers further thoughts about the British band’s strange notion that “yesterday came suddenly.”
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 13 Mar 2020 - 324 - Retirement Advisor: Countercultural Cash
A novel piece of financial research put out by the Asian Development Bank seeks an explanation for an unexpected growing global demand for cash. The paper does not discuss retirement per se, but inspired thoughts of an advantageous approach for retirement savers. This podcast (6:41) argues that use of old-fashioned cash could discourage spending, serve as a budgetary monitoring tool and facilitate securities purchases at times like the present when stocks are falling.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 12 Mar 2020 - 323 - The Asset Allocator: At What Price Do You Get In?
The implicit timeline for most stock-market trades and most stock-market analysis is short-term, yet most investors’ personal timelines are long-term. A lot of stock-market analysis will therefore fail to satisfy investors’ personal questions. This podcast (6:22) suggests investors not overthink things. Accumulators of capital should buy. The current market crisis may well be the event whose importance to our future wealth we did not fully appreciate as it occurred.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 10 Mar 2020 - 322 - Retirement Advisor: Unleashing Your Inner 50-Year-Old
What would rekindle the aggressiveness of a 50-year-old in a 65-year-old investor? Ironically, adopting what is thought to be a highly conservative approach: annuitizing a portion of the portfolio. This podcast (6:50) argues that the “smell of death” consumers detect in annuities is really a function of feeling like they can never again take risk; yet a partial annuitization strategy can actually increase capacity to take risk.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 09 Mar 2020 - 321 - The Asset Allocator: Keep Your Head When All About You Are Losing Theirs
If you’re an advisor getting lots of panicky phone calls or text messages, what should the approach to this quasi-gladiatorial contest between bulls and bears be? This podcast (6:22) suggests that Rudyard Kipling’s classic poem “If” provides the best advisor job-description at a time like this: “If you can keep your head when all about you are losing theirs and blaming it on you...” Indeed, a key benefit of employing a financial advisor is to place an intermediary between the assets we want to protect and increase – and our itchy fingers reaching for the trade button.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 06 Mar 2020 - 320 - Retirement Advisor: Where Have The Late Boomers’ Retirement Gone?
The Center for Retirement Research reports a little-known demographic difficulty: the significant drop in 401(k) and IRA assets for “late boomers,” aged 55 to 65, beginning with the Great Recession. This podcast (6:49) explains the report’s findings and the researchers’ tentative conclusions, and adds some possible lines of further research inquiry. Overall, the unexpectedly sharp fall in retirement wealth for this cohort should strengthen our motivation to shift assets towards our future needs.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 05 Mar 2020 - 319 - The Asset Allocator: Dalbar Rethinks Asset Allocation
New Dalbar research takes a look at asset protection strategies through the prism of opportunity cost, with a view toward lowering investors’ hedging costs or even increasing their total returns. This podcast (8:10) suggests that Dalbar’s alternative allocation findings are quite helpful, so long as advisors do the appropriate due diligence for their clients, but also proposes another strategy for Dalbar’s quants to test empirically.
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Roll Call reports that the Teamster’s largest fund is headed toward insolvency, and the Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation fund that serves as its backstop is about four years from depletion. CNBC reports a closed Catholic hospital’s nearly 700 former employees may wind up with nothing from its insolvent pension. This podcast (6:51) suggests that people can survive portfolio depletion more easily than the drying up of lifetime income, and that advisors’ income plans must therefore specify how much their clients should save, what they can spend and when they can retire.
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The Wall Street Journal notes that investors have grouped around consumer staples amidst the big sell-off, for fear of an economic downturn. This podcast (7:00) suggests tweaking the consumer staples category, first to “sin” stocks, then to “comfort” stocks, to accent the more robustly selling products and services during downturns.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 28 Feb 2020 - 316 - Retirement Advisor: Come On The Amazing Journey
The retirement journey that people dream of is actually a sort of journey, one which they burden by overpacking. This podcast (5:27) suggests that it behooves investors to think about what they will “pack” for that retirement journey long before they’re going to take it; doing so may help frame decisions as to what they need today versus what they will need in retirement.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 27 Feb 2020 - 315 - The Asset Allocator: Bad News Is The Best Time To Buy
We lack complete clarity about the coronavirus situation, but from an abstract investment point of view, we can say that embracing volatility is generally the path to increasing returns. This podcast (6:20) suggests investors discriminate between deservedly and undeservedly punished stocks in the indiscriminate market plunge, with the understanding that bad news is generally the best time to buy.
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The weekly blog of Rick Kahler, a well known financial planner with a national reputation, turns up with four solid ideas to counter common investor mistakes. This podcast (6:20) suggests that Kahler’s four decades of experience speaking with flesh-and-blood clients sounds more real, and is thus more persuasive, than a lot of the trendy behavioral finance research out there.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 25 Feb 2020 - 313 - The Asset Allocator: Between A Rock And A Hard Place
One of the surprises on Blackstone Group’s Byron Wien’s annual “Ten Surprises” list was that an oil price shock would send West Texas Intermediate Crude to over $70 a barrel. At about the same time, BlackRock announced its big move away from fossil fuels. Their positions are closer than they seem. This podcast (7:01) argues that energy companies, which today reside in the bargain basement, may be worthwhile investments, from a value-perspective if not values perspective (leaving it to listeners to determine the moral path of their portfolios).
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 24 Feb 2020 - 312 - Retirement Advisor: Rob Isbitts On ‘Tapping The Brakes’ Before Retirement
Financial advisor Rob Isbitts of Sungarden Investment Management, based in Weston, Florida, defines his style as “aggressive capital preservation.” In this podcast (19:33), the veteran advisor, and publisher of advisor site TheHedgedInvestor.com, keeps the focus on remaining humble, which he characterizes as balancing reward and risk at all times.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 21 Feb 2020 - 311 - The Asset Allocator: The Cost Of Criminalizing Innovation
The main public claims against Michael Milken back in 1990 are today mainstream and widely understood as beneficial, whereas the technicalities that sent him to prison and banned him from the financial industry remain as opaque today as then. This podcast (8:01) argues that criminalizing innovation not only took a financial genius out of commission, but sent a signal to other would-be innovators not to be overly creative. It may even have reduced economic growth and cost you your job.
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Most Americans do not have emergency funds, a seemingly small oversight that likely has very large repercussions. This podcast (6:11) argues that the absence of such funds lies at the root of a hazard that reduces retirement savings by about a fifth, a “leakage” that amounted to $69 trillion in a year, in one recent U.S. government study.
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Presidential election years tend to be strong for markets, the incumbent has shown great interest in the stock market’s progress and the Fed seems supportive. This podcast (6:33), suggests that the biggest apparent risk right now is the coronavirus, which will surely adversely affect one if not two quarters of global GDP. And yet that delay in the resumption of economic growth could lead to a big pop in consumer spending, bolstering the economy in 2020, barring unexpected exogenous shocks.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 18 Feb 2020 - 308 - Retirement Advisor: Paying For Your Parents’ Retirement
A new survey by AgeUp finds that people don’t know much about their parents’ finances and are worried they may have to kick in their own funds to sustain them during retirement. This podcast (6:33) takes a look at the MassMutual unit’s re-packaging of deferred income annuities as a solution for this very contemporary worry, noting that DIAs can be a more cost-effective way to guarantee income because of the long lead time for saving and fewer years to cover.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 14 Feb 2020 - 307 - The Asset Allocator: BBB-Rated Bonds And Other Risks You Might Not Have Thought About
Mike Hennessy of Harbor Crest Wealth Advisors argues that, of the many risks faced by fixed-income investors, three in particular are not adequately understood. In this podcast (9:58), Hennessy shows how investment-grade bonds could quickly turn into junk in a downturn, why liquidity in the ETF market may be overpromised and how a return of inflation could force the Fed to hike rates, adversely impacting borrowers, corporations and governments.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 13 Feb 2020 - 306 - Retirement Advisor: Something Is Right-On In Denmark
The World Economic Forum posted a video about what it calls “the global pensions time bomb,” noting that the already large gap between resources and retirement is rapidly accelerating. This podcast (7:48) suggests that the approach taken by Denmark is right for our times, more so than the Chilean model, and discusses other U.S. retirement-system vulnerabilities.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 12 Feb 2020 - 305 - The Asset Allocator: Macroeconomics And Cheese (Podcast)
A recent Barron’s analysis makes a compelling case that The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) might be ready to exit the bargain basement, especially if it can obtain decent prices for assets it sells. This podcast (7:03) argues that of greater importance than the assets it sells is the investment it makes in the assets it keeps. A new marketing-oriented CEO and favorable timing in the macro-economy may aid in this effort.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 11 Feb 2020 - 304 - Retirement Advisor: Bias or Habit?
Which cognitive bias most speaks to today’s retirement challenges? Visual Capitalist offers 50 for you. This podcast (5:06) suggests that the multiplying list of cognitive behavioral biases fail to capture the essential problems as well as Benjamin Franklin’s aphorisms, which are rooted in character issues and poetically expressed.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 10 Feb 2020 - 303 - The Asset Allocator: Ian Bezek Prioritizes Quality
Independent analyst Ian Bezek of Ian’s Insider Corner explains his quality-first approach to stock selection, with Hormel being a shining example. In this podcast (19:19), the Latin America-based analyst explains why oil and natural gas aren’t going away; discusses the appeal of consumer staples stocks; and offers his perspective on the Chilean market, Latin America investing and expat retirement.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 07 Feb 2020 - 302 - Retirement Advisor: Realize Your Potential
In a video interview with Les Brown, the motivational speaker make three relevant points for advisors: that negativity keeps people from progressing; that people need to step out of their comfort zones; and that people need guidance. This podcast (6:11) suggests that it is useful for advisors to adopt a professional self-image as people who see the potential of their clients, and who help them to realize that potential.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 06 Feb 2020 - 301 - The Asset Allocator: A Cheesy Idea
Amidst so much market commentary offering just a nano-second of value, I was more impressed with a silly video from a California-based pizza parlor titled “What Happens When A Cordon Bleu Trained Chef Tries Shakey’s Pepperoni Pizza?” This podcast (5:31) suggests that the distance between Cordon Blue and Shakey’s really isn’t that far when less money is sloshing around, as will eventually be the case, and argues that now is the time to look to accumulate shares of the slow, steady earners that people cling to in meaner times.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 05 Feb 2020 - 300 - Retirement Advisor: ‘Embarrassed’
A 58-year-old man with no retirement savings asks a USA Today financial-advice columnist for help, noting he was embarrassed to consult with a financial planner. This podcast (6:32) suggests that many of the people advisors meet with, specifically prospective clients, are not receiving the peace-of-mind benefits enjoyed by clients who have a relationship with an advisor and a framework within which to tackle what may be the No. 1 stressor, financial stress.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 04 Feb 2020 - 299 - The Asset Allocator: Shale-Oil Stocks
Two Seeking Alpha analyses of the shale-oil industry, one from Kevin Wilson and the other from Andrew Butter, provide much insight and yet, one of them is quite grim and the other sanguine about the opportunities ahead. This podcast (7:19) suggests why it is that commodities investments that tend to long-term returns of zero are so tempting; why the success of such speculation is determined by timing, which is next to impossible to figure out; and what criteria investors should look for in a small, speculative play.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 03 Feb 2020 - 298 - Retirement Advisor: Where To Retire
ElderIndex.org allows users to compare the retirement cost of living among up to four different places at a time. This podcast (6:57) suggests that a change in location is an important tool in the advisor’s retirement-planning tool kit since housing and health costs vary greatly from place to place, and notes the case of a couple whose move reduced costs by about 25 percent.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 31 Jan 2020 - 297 - The Asset Allocator: A Bigger Threat Than The Coronavirus
As coronavirus fears dissipate, a massive biological calamity taking place right now has gotten next to no attention: the worst locust swarms in 70 years. This podcast (5:00) argues that an extraordinary behavioral quirk in the species known as schistocerca gregaria should be duly noted by investors because of a parallel phenomenon found in “mercator gregaria,” i.e., investors whose behavior changes from harmless to destructive overnight. We saw an example of that this week, and it’s something investors need to proactively defend against.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 30 Jan 2020 - 296 - Retirement Advisor: The Deceptive Certainty Of Retirement Calculators
Seeking Alpha contributor Ronald Surz’s article on the SECURE Act argues that it will encourage savings; it will encourage misuse of financial calculators; and that these calculators will not model risk properly. This podcast (5:23) suggests that asset managers’ robo-retirement-income tools are brilliant – from a marketing point of view – but are woefully inadequate models on which to base a retirement income plan.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 29 Jan 2020 - 295 - The Asset Allocator: How To Make Decisions
Positioning for the new year and decade is worthwhile, but not before taking a step back and establishing a framework for making good decisions. This podcast (4:38) argues that key decisions about asset allocation and whether and from whom to seek advice precede and override the matters investors generally obsess about, such as which stock to buy.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 28 Jan 2020 - 294 - Retirement Advisor: The Advice Advantage
A comprehensive study by the London-based International Longevity Centre found that receivers of financial advice fared substantially better than the unadvised. This podcast (4:37) suggests that the public has a lot of clarity about the cost of advice, but is deficient in its knowledge of the value of advice, something for which comprehensive U.S. research is needed, but also something that advisors can do a better job of communicating.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 27 Jan 2020 - 293 - The Asset Allocator: Tendencies Reassert Themselves
An article on Prohibition on TheConversation.com, having nothing to do with investments per se, got me thinking about markets and mean reversion. This podcast (6:00) argues that tendencies with a solid human or historical basis reassert themselves, which is why I expect we’ll yet again see oil and gas and agricultural commodities spike, though I think trends of a more fleeting nature will not mean-revert.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 24 Jan 2020 - 292 - Retirement Advisor: The Centenarian Club
The Retirement Income Journal, published by Kerry Pechter, includes a report of a sobering presentation by University of Oklahoma law school professor Jon Forman, arguing that near-ideal conditions (including a 9% contribution rate) are needed to reach retirement adequacy for the approximately 10% of the population that will make it to 100. This podcast (5:53) argues that we should target a 15 percent rate of savings, since ideal conditions do not exist, and that home ownership, portfolio wealth and longevity insurance all enhance financial resilience.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 23 Jan 2020 - 291 - The Asset Allocator: Jonathan Clements On How Advisors Add Value
Jonathan Clements, formerly personal finance columnist for the Wall Street Journal and now founder and editor of HumbleDollar, has long provided a voice of sanity in the money-crazed media. In this podcast (19:08), the legendary columnist addresses how financial advisors can add value to the clients they serve; tells why the paycheck is the central organizing principle of our finances; and explains how investors need to attain a level of excitement to stay on track to achieve their goals. He also shares a riveting tale of the enormous family fortune he didn’t inherit.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 22 Jan 2020 - 290 - Retirement Advisor: A Tale Of Two Retirements
NPR’s Weekend Edition recounts the story of retiring Indiana state employee Bob Vollmer at age 102. In contrast, TD Ameritrade commissioned a Harris Poll survey of the American public, finding that 50 percent retired earlier than they would have liked. This podcast (5:38) argues that advisors must take into consideration the high likelihood that clients in their peak savings years may be undercut by involuntary early retirement, and also speculates on the qualities enabling a robust late retirement of the kind exemplified by Vollmer.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 21 Jan 2020 - 289 - The Asset Allocator: Elliott Asset Management’s Love For Hated Investments
Mark Elliott of Elliott Asset Management in Boston is a gutsy investor whose past contrarian moves have paid off. His latest moves reflect his continuing love affair with hated investments, notably in MLPs and Puerto Rican bonds. In this podcast (23:28), Elliott explains a court appeal in which he is the lead plaintiff that he expects will reward holders of COFINA bonds. And he elaborates on his affinity for the most hated sub-sector within the most hated sector – MLPs.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 17 Jan 2020 - 288 - Retirement Advisor: Pitfalls Of Early Retirement
Retirement blogger Chris Mamula, writing on MarketWatch, offered some candid reflections on the things he got wrong two years into his very early retirement. This podcast (6:55) takes advantage of the opportunity to learn from somebody else’s mistakes, and offers thoughts on the experience, preparation and timing that should factor into one’s retirement planning.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 16 Jan 2020 - 287 - The Asset Allocator: Sucker-Punches, Chest-Beating And Portfolio Stability
The Collaborative Fund’s Morgan Housel, on his blogpost yesterday, called “Risk is what you don’t see,” tells the story of the punch Houdini didn’t see coming. This podcast (3:46) notes a parallel between the Houdini story and the famous inattentional blindness experiment, in which about 50% of viewers fail to see a gorilla sauntering into the middle of a basketball game. Housel’s point is the risk that matters is the one you don’t see; mine is the only way to defend against such risk is to have a system in place that maintains portfolio stability.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 15 Jan 2020 - 286 - Retirement Advisor: ‘Good Trades’
A paper on “Trends in Retirement Income Adequacy” reports that households who have “outlived their savings” is the authors’ most concerning finding. This podcast (6:10) outlines the process of avoiding this fate, acquiring income and assets by making what I call “good trades.”
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 14 Jan 2020 - 285 - The Asset Allocator: Mark Elzweig On How To Be A Happy Advisor
Veteran Wall Street recruiter Mark Elzweig observes that though advisors are generally well paid, many are not happy, which is ironic because their position carries unique advantages conducive to being happy. In this podcast (14:04), Elzweig, the author of a free e-book called “The Path to Success and Happiness for Financial Advisors,” explores pathways leading to fulfillment including autonomy, a sense of mastery and a sense of purpose.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 13 Jan 2020 - 284 - The Asset Allocator: The Trouble With Macro-Analysis
Surveying the past decade, one could say that macro-analysis fell into two camps, one questioning the propriety of the Fed’s balance-sheet expansion, the other saying “Don’t fight the Fed.” The Fedophobes lost big and the Fedophiles won big. But who’s to say that relationship won’t reverse this decade? This podcast (5:38) argues that the problem with macro-analysis is that it’s all too often a binary affair. A better approach, exemplified by Mohamed El-Erian’s recent interview in Investment News, raises good questions, warns of potential dangers and builds in portfolio flexibility.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 10 Jan 2020 - 283 - Retirement Advisor: Unrealistic Expectations
Pension protests in France and Chile are fueled in part by a feeling that retirement reality is more meager than they expected. This gap is also relevant to U.S. retirees. This podcast (5:19) suggests a way advisors can help clients better match expectations to reality to achieve a retirement they can afford.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 09 Jan 2020 - 282 - The Asset Allocator: As Geopolitical Tension Escalates
Beware of pundits advising portfolio changes on the basis of the U.S. drone attack on an Iranian general. Instead, position a portfolio for growth and resilience at all times. This podcast (5:38) argues that a better approach to trying to predict the unpredictable is to own stocks and keep cash, and buy cheap and sell dear.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 08 Jan 2020 - 281 - Retirement Advisor: Decade Of The ‘Young-Old’
The Economist recently published a lead story on the so-called “young-old,” the Japanese term for workers aged 65 to 75, who the magazine expects to bolster their work participation this decade. This podcast (4:33) brings a medical anecdote to illustrate the physical and mental benefits of continued exertion, and suggests that financially secure retirees voluntarily undertake some sort of meaningful labor.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 07 Jan 2020 - 280 - The Asset Allocator: Process Precedes Stockpicking
Process matters more than stock picks and stock pickers. This podcast (4:58) argues that, paradoxically, by going after attractive investment returns, investors often end up with poor investment returns. But by adhering to a process that captures investment returns, investors needn’t sweat the details.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 06 Jan 2020 - 279 - Retirement Advisor: When To Spend
Australian actuaries have developed a rule-of-thumb calculation for how much retirees can spend. This podcast (5:06) discusses this intriguing formula, but assumes it wouldn’t work in the U.S. context. Nevertheless, the obsession with formulas for how much to spend, which depend on unique variables, remind us of the one constant in retirement planning everywhere, which is that the surplus one spends in retirement stems from the restraint shown pre-retirement.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 03 Jan 2020 - 278 - The Asset Allocator: Filtering Portfolio Ideas
A portfolio should be tailored to the investor’s individual needs. That’s why people hire advisors, for a more objective view of their finances. This podcast (5:08) argues that advisors should build customized, resilient portfolios on the basis of broad asset classes, adding new items when they serve the client’s investment policy, restore balance and tilt the portfolio in a manner suited to client preferences.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 02 Jan 2020 - 277 - Retirement Advisor: Retirement Income Planning For Dummies
A quick-and-dirty approach to guesstimating one’s retirement income would be the formula landlords use to qualify a potential tenant, which is gross income three times the rent they are seeking. This podcast (5:46) suggests this yardstick may work because people’s standard of living is related to where they live and the lifestyle of those in their milieu. With this conversation starter, the next steps are to determine a path to reach that goal via saving and investing or by paring that standard of living.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 30 Dec 2019 - 276 - The Asset Allocator: My Top ETF Pick For 2020
My top ETF choice for 2020 is the iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS). This podcast (7:37) explains my search for an investment that offers appreciation potential, and yet which is also defensible against the ill winds that can bring stock prices down precipitously.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 27 Dec 2019 - 275 - Retirement Advisor: Income Projection – An Idea Whose Time Has Come
The Secure Act does two innovative things: It facilitates the offering of annuities in corporate retirement plans, and it requires retirement plans to project monthly income streams from savings. This podcast (4:52) suggests that if investors can see how much, or how little, their savings translate into income, they may save more. For those who don’t save more, the annuity will at least distribute what they have over their lifetime.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 26 Dec 2019 - 274 - The Asset Allocator: Both Stocks And Real Estate
Wealthfront’s latest article on Seeking Alpha offers reasons to be skeptical about investment real estate. This podcast (5:54) offers a range of pros and cons about real estate for the benefit of advisors who must strive to serve as an objective source of information about every avenue of capital deployment.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesMon, 23 Dec 2019 - 273 - Retirement Advisor: Should Gen Z Save For A Home Or Retirement First?
Generation Z, now graduating college, want to get ahead in life, and should learn now to steer clear from shallow media investment advice. This podcast (5:36) suggests that whether to prioritize a home or retirement depends on certain variables, but what is invariable for young people is the effective deployment of their human capital.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesFri, 20 Dec 2019 - 272 - The Asset Allocator: Let’s Not Forget About Commodities
The Washington Post discusses two new scientific studies published this month in the journal Nature, which together signal the risk of a global food crisis. This podcast (4:39) argues that the possibility of a food crisis should remind us of the value of hedging a portfolio with commodities investments, which rarely fall when stocks are falling.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesThu, 19 Dec 2019 - 271 - Retirement Advisor: Marcia Mantell On What Women Need To Know About Social Security
Retirement consultant Marcia Mantell is the author of the new book, “What’s the deal with Social Security for Women?” In this podcast (18:57), Mantell reviews some key Social Security claiming issues pertinent to widows, divorcees, married and single women.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesWed, 18 Dec 2019 - 270 - The Asset Allocator: Mapping, Rather Than Tripping Over, Your Emotions
Neuroeconomics explains how the brain physiologically responds to stimuli and sometimes trips us up, based on the uneasy coexistence between primitive and advanced neural systems. This podcast (5:06) suggests we employ such insights to map our emotions rather than trip over them.
Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoicesTue, 17 Dec 2019
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